TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Karlsruher SC
Volume:
$714,771
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: a draw, a Magdeburg win, or a Karlsruhe win, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms measure the same event (Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe on 2026-03-01) at the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), with three mutually exclusive outcomes that collectively cover all possibilities.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga 2 records and match statistics (bundesliga.com)Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined at the conclusion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Magdeburg win, Karlsruhe win, or draw
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No; Kalshi markets have no explicit cancellation clause but logically would not resolve Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: All platforms keep markets open until the match is completed on a new date
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, both win markets resolve No. Kalshi: no explicit guidance; treat as unresolved pending clarification
- Extra Time or Penalties: Explicitly excluded; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts for resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 1, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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