TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Magdeburg vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Volume:
$106,654
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between 1. FC Magdeburg and DSC Arminia Bielefeld scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms consistently measure the same event (Magdeburg vs Bielefeld on Feb 15, 2026) using the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), with aligned treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga 2 final match score as reported on bundesliga.comCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Magdeburg win, Bielefeld win, or draw
- If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
- If the game is canceled with no makeup scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and team-win markets resolve No; Kalshi treats all outcomes as Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, team-win markets resolve No. Kalshi: all three outcome markets resolve Yes
- Draw outcome: A draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time resolves draw markets to Yes and team-win markets to No
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final whistle at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 15, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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