TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a wide array of markets related to the 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga match, including spread betting, over/under goals, and both teams to score predictions. Markets cover both the full game and the first half.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to probabilities that differ from traditional sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while prediction markets are driven by actual money being wagered on outcomes. Therefore, comparing the two can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Köln vs. Bremen match, potentially identifying value bets on either side.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform can influence prices – Polymarket currently favors 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 98 percent, while Predict leans toward Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5). These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the potential for arbitrage opportunities.