TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen - More Markets
Volume:
$439,737
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln and SV Werder Bremen scheduled for April 12 at 9:30 AM ET. Markets span spread betting (-1.5, -2.5 goals for each team), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score. All outcomes depend on the final official score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use identical spread thresholds and resolution logic for all markets, but Kalshi's market descriptions lack explicit postponement and cancellation clauses that Polymarket includes. Both platforms resolve on the same underlying event (official Bundesliga final score), but Polymarket provides more detailed contingency rules.Hero Tip:
Both platforms will resolve identically for standard match outcomes. However, if the match is postponed or canceled, Polymarket explicitly states the resolution path (remain open until completion, or 50-50 split if canceled with no makeup), while Kalshi's terms do not address these scenarios. Traders should assume Kalshi follows standard industry practice, but verify with the platform directly if postponement occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on core resolution logic: all spread and over/under markets resolve based on official Bundesliga final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Polymarket explicitly states: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.'
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on core resolution logic: all markets resolve based on official Bundesliga final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (e.g., 'If FC Köln wins by more than 2.5 goals in the FC Köln vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time'). However, Kalshi does not explicitly address postponement or cancellation contingencies in the provided terms.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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