Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic based on the official final score from bundesliga.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 resolution).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics published on bundesliga.com; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
O/U 1.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2.
O/U 2.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3.
O/U 3.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4.
O/U 4.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5.
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores >= 1 goal, No if either team scores 0.
Spread: FC Köln (-1.5) resolves to FC Köln if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise Leverkusen.
Spread: FC Köln (-2.5) resolves to FC Köln if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise Leverkusen.
Spread: Leverkusen (-1.5) resolves to Leverkusen if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise FC Köln.
Spread: Leverkusen (-2.5) resolves to Leverkusen if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise FC Köln.
All markets reference only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs based on the final score whenever the match is eventually played.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed, all markets resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com at that point.
Delayed Official Statistics: If bundesliga.com does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score on bundesliga.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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