Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Exactly one of three outcomes will occur: 1. FC Köln win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, or draw.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, draw market resolves YES; Köln and Leverkusen win markets resolve NO.
All three outcome markets (Köln win, Leverkusen win, draw) are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES while both team win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Bundesliga or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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