This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Karlsruher SC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: whether it ends in a draw, whether Kaiserslautern wins, and whether Karlsruher SC wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently define resolution as the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and DFB records; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Draw market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
Kaiserslautern win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Kaiserslautern wins, No otherwise
Karlsruher SC win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Karlsruher SC wins, No otherwise
Kalshi markets resolve Yes if the specified outcome (Karlsruhe win, Kaiserslautern win, or Tie) occurs
All three outcomes are mutually exclusive: exactly one will occur in 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date
Match Cancellation with No Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, draw markets resolve Yes and win markets resolve No
Resolution Source Delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
Extra Time or Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time result counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), with official statistics expected within 2 hours of final whistle
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.