TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Volume:
$751,654
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three binary markets track the outcome: Heidenheim win, draw, and Hoffenheim win. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution differs between the draw market and the two win markets on Polymarket. The draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi markets all resolve NO on cancellation.Hero Tip:
If you hold positions across both platforms or multiple Polymarket markets, map your cancellation exposure carefully. A full cancellation would trigger YES on Polymarket draw but NO on all win markets, creating an unusual payout profile. Request clarification from Polymarket on whether the draw cancellation rule is intentional.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket (Heidenheim Win & Hoffenheim Win): Win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps market open. Resolution source is official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Polymarket (Draw Market): Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps market open. Same resolution source and timing as win markets. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi (All Three Markets): All three markets (Hoffenheim win, Tie, Heidenheim win) resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data; standard assumption is NO resolution on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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