TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and FC St. Pauli 1910 scheduled for April 25, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Heidenheim win, St. Pauli win, draw), while Kalshi offers a single market covering all three outcomes. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: each market resolves based on the official 90-minute match outcome (plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties) as recognized by the Bundesliga governing body, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and the governing body's final match records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market 1 (Heidenheim Win) resolves YES if and only if 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Market 2 (St. Pauli Win) resolves YES if and only if FC St. Pauli 1910 wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Market 3 (Draw) resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Markets 1 and 2 resolve NO, and Market 3 resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for April 25, 2026 is postponed, all three markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match outcome.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Markets 1 and 2 (Heidenheim Win and St. Pauli Win) resolve NO, while Market 3 (Draw) resolves YES per Polymarket rules. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario.
- Extra Time and Penalties Excluded: Resolution is based strictly on the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition), only the 90-minute result counts.
- Official Statistics Delay: If the Bundesliga does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may be determined by consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Bundesliga announcement of the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, typically within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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