TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Volume:
$2,678,839
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen scheduled for March 21, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Draw, Leverkusen Win, Heidenheim Win), while Kalshi offers a single ternary market covering all three outcomes. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 21, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting may be used.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Heidenheim win, Leverkusen win, or draw.
- Exactly one of the three Polymarket markets (Heidenheim win, Leverkusen win, or draw) will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
- The three Kalshi markets (Tie, Leverkusen win, Heidenheim win) each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs, and NO otherwise.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets all resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: draw market resolves YES, both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi: all three markets resolve NO.
- Delayed Official Statistics: If Bundesliga does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Bundesliga announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or within 2 hours thereafter if official statistics are unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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