TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between Zwolle and Oss, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Zwolle vs Oss professional KNVB soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Zwolle market occurs if Zwolle wins in regulation time, while a 'Yes' for the Oss market requires Oss's regulation time victory. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets strictly adhere to regulation time results, with no consideration given to post-regulation events such as extra time or penalty kicks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and prices adjust based on collective belief. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Zwolle winning in regulation time. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the outcome’s likelihood. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zwolle versus Oss match, specifically whether Zwolle wins the match within regulation time (90 minutes plus any added stoppage time). No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered for this market. The official match result will serve as the determining factor for settlement, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for key players on either Zwolle or Oss would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical announcements from either manager, could also play a role. Publicly available information and overall betting trends surrounding the match will also contribute to price fluctuations.