TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Zwolle and Den Haag, focusing specifically on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether Zwolle, Den Haag, or a tied result will occur by the end of regulation time. The event reflects the competitive dynamics of the Eredivisie league, where each team's performance in this fixture can influence betting and predictive markets.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Zwolle vs Den Haag professional Eredivisie soccer match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Zwolle win, Den Haag win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors such as extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the Zwolle vs Den Haag match. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional odds-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Zwolle vs Den Haag match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The platform uses a mechanism to ensure that the prices converge towards the true probability as the event approaches, incentivizing accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zwolle vs Den Haag match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and fair settlement of all outstanding contracts. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Nov 1, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Zwolle or Den Haag would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also move the market. Additionally, any public statements from key players or analysts offering strong opinions on the match's likely outcome could influence trader behavior and alter the probabilities reflected in the prices.