TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:27 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Zwolle and Cambuur will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold of goals (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals) is exceeded in the professional Eredivisie soccer game between Zwolle and Cambuur, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from goal counts for resolution purposes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs, as the market seeks to establish a consensus view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total goals scored in the Zwolle vs Cambuur match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived likelihood of that goal total, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Zwolle vs Cambuur match, as officially recorded by the governing football authority, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the official score is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Zwolle or Cambuur would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the anticipated goal total. Even pre-match team lineup announcements or tactical adjustments revealed by the managers could shift trader sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring game has the potential to move the market.