TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:29 AM EST
Kalshi
The outcome of the Zwolle versus Cambuur match will be evaluated based on the margin of victory for either team within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Markets resolve to Yes if Zwolle wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Cambuur wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals in the professional Eredivisie soccer game between Zwolle and Cambuur, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from the determination of winning margins. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Zwolle vs Cambuur match, you might see the prediction market odds diverge, reflecting that collective insight. It's a way to gauge the 'wisdom of the crowd'.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Zwolle vs Cambuur match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zwolle will cover the spread, the price will rise, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Zwolle vs Cambuur match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the governing football league, and the market will settle to 100 if the spread is covered, or 0 if it is not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Zwolle or Cambuur would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key personnel changes right before the match would also be significant catalysts. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential movements in this market.