TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Vanhouter vs. Balaz
- Polymarket
Vanhouter vs. Balaz - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:00h:03m
$
This market will resolve to "Vanhouter" if Da'Mazion Vanhouter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Balaz at Zuffa Boxing 12, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Balaz" if Ivan Balaz is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
This market will resolve to "Vanhouter" if Da'Mazion Vanhouter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Balaz at Zuffa Boxing 12, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Balaz" if Ivan Balaz is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, reflects the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with experts and potentially identify value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Vanhouter vs. Balaz fight. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changes in sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by Zuffa regarding the Vanhouter vs. Balaz fight. This includes determining the winner of the bout, based on knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome, and 0% for the losing outcome, reflecting the definitive result of the fight as reported by the official source.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or reports about their physical condition would likely cause price movement. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a change in venue or a shift in the undercard, could also contribute to volatility in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely move the odds.