TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market will resolve to "Roehrig" if Lucas Roehrig is officially declared the winner of the fight against Connal Mcdonald at Zuffa Boxing 12, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Mcdonald" if Connal Mcdonald is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
This market will resolve to "Roehrig" if Lucas Roehrig is officially declared the winner of the fight against Connal Mcdonald at Zuffa Boxing 12, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Mcdonald" if Connal Mcdonald is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these discrepancies can reveal insights into where the 'wisdom of the crowd' diverges from professional oddsmakers regarding the Roehrig vs. Mcdonald fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Roehrig vs. Mcdonald fight. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective beliefs of the traders. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roehrig vs. Mcdonald fight as declared by Zuffa Boxing. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the market will be finalized and settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Unexpected betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks or significant analysis from boxing experts could also impact the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning the Roehrig vs. Mcdonald fight is likely to drive price movement.