TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Dzambekov vs. Parker
- Polymarket
Dzambekov vs. Parker - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:05h:07m
$
This market will resolve to "Dzambekov" if Umar Dzambekov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Zach Parker at Zuffa Boxing 12, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Parker" if Zach Parker is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
This market will resolve to "Dzambekov" if Umar Dzambekov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Zach Parker at Zuffa Boxing 12, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Parker" if Zach Parker is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market evolves as new information emerges and more people participate. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more volume is traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time forecast of the event’s potential results. This allows traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by Zuffa regarding the winner of the Dzambekov vs. Parker fight. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision by the judges, will determine the final outcome. The platform will then verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the market’s price. Increased volume leading up to the fight is also a strong indicator of heightened interest and potential price volatility.