TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Adulah vs. Palma
- Polymarket
Adulah vs. Palma - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:23h:15m
$
This market will resolve to "Adulah" if Masood Adulah is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adan Palma at Zuffa Boxing 12: Billam-Smith vs. Clarke, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Palma" if Adan Palma is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
This market will resolve to "Adulah" if Masood Adulah is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adan Palma at Zuffa Boxing 12: Billam-Smith vs. Clarke, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Palma" if Adan Palma is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, so comparing them to the probabilities reflected in this market can be a useful strategy for informed betting. Keep in mind that discrepancies can emerge due to differing levels of information and incentives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Adulah vs. Palma fight. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the traders participating in this event.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Adulah vs. Palma fight, as declared by Zuffa. The fighter who is officially declared the winner by the judges or via knockout/submission will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and fair settlement for all traders.
Several signals could influence the price action in this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause adjustments. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public polls predicting the fight’s outcome can impact the market. A significant shift in public opinion or a late-breaking development concerning either fighter could lead to substantial price movements in this market.