TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Slovakian 2. Liga between Zlate Moravce and 1914 Samorin. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Zlate Moravce vs 1914 Samorin professional Slovakian 2. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Zlate Moravce, a win for 1914 Samorin, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to freely buy and sell contracts, causing the odds to shift as new information and opinions emerge. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines in response to significant events, the dynamic nature of a prediction market can lead to faster and more nuanced price discovery. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing each possible outcome. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. Essentially, the market price is determined by supply and demand – if more people believe Zlate Moravce will win, the price of that outcome’s contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Zlate Moravce vs Samorin match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure a fair and accurate determination of the match’s result, rather than relying on any specific internal criteria.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, and even public sentiment expressed on social media, can also impact trading behavior. Furthermore, any updates on weather conditions or pitch quality that might affect gameplay could lead to price movements. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match are likely to generate the most substantial shifts in this market.