TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team Zion Williamson will play for next, covering potential trades, free agency signings, or remaining with his current organization through October 21, 2026. On Kalshi, Dallas is the leading outcome at 63.0%. Resolution is determined by official NBA transaction announcements or team roster confirmations. Watch for any trade deadline activity or free agency developments leading up to the October 21, 2026 resolution date, as major roster moves or contract negotiations could shift market expectations significantly.
The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome occurs first: Zion Williamson signs with or is traded to any of the specified NBA teams, or he stays with the New Orleans Pelicans or retires, all before October 21, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive—only one can resolve to Yes. The resolution is based on official NBA roster transactions and announcements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, Zion Williamson joining various NBA teams. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each team acquiring Zion Williamson. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more liquid it becomes, and the tighter the spread between the buy and sell prices.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team that Zion Williamson is officially signed to play for during the 2025-2026 NBA season. Any trades or signings made after the start of the regular season will not affect the outcome. The market will close and settle based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact the odds in this market. News regarding Zion Williamson’s health, potential trades involving other star players, and the strategic needs of different NBA teams are all key catalysts. Any official statements from Williamson or team executives, or credible reporting from NBA insiders, could also cause substantial price movements. Major coaching changes or shifts in team ownership could also influence the market, as these events alter the competitive landscape and a team’s ability to attract top talent.