TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Zion Williamson's Next Team
kalshi

Zion Williamson's Next Team

Volume:
$37,769

Stays with New Orleans or Retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with New Orleans or Retires - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with New Orleans or Retires

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,619
N/A
N/A
$16,115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brooklyn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,003
N/A
N/A
$1,808
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,833
N/A
N/A
$2,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,138
N/A
N/A
$1,918
Settled
No
kalshi

New York

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
$1,174
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
$1,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
$1,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
$748
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlotte

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
$630
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
$478
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
$486
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
$431
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
$288
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
No
kalshi

Utah

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which team Zion Williamson will play for next, covering potential trades, free agency signings, or remaining with his current organization through October 21, 2026. On Kalshi, Dallas is the leading outcome at 63.0%. Resolution is determined by official NBA transaction announcements or team roster confirmations. Watch for any trade deadline activity or free agency developments leading up to the October 21, 2026 resolution date, as major roster moves or contract negotiations could shift market expectations significantly.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome occurs first: Zion Williamson signs with or is traded to any of the specified NBA teams, or he stays with the New Orleans Pelicans or retires, all before October 21, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive—only one can resolve to Yes. The resolution is based on official NBA roster transactions and announcements.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular team, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets tend to incorporate information more efficiently. However, as the event approaches, the odds often converge.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, Zion Williamson joining various NBA teams. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each team acquiring Zion Williamson. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more liquid it becomes, and the tighter the spread between the buy and sell prices.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team that Zion Williamson is officially signed to play for during the 2025-2026 NBA season. Any trades or signings made after the start of the regular season will not affect the outcome. The market will close and settle based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants.

Several factors could significantly impact the odds in this market. News regarding Zion Williamson’s health, potential trades involving other star players, and the strategic needs of different NBA teams are all key catalysts. Any official statements from Williamson or team executives, or credible reporting from NBA insiders, could also cause substantial price movements. Major coaching changes or shifts in team ownership could also influence the market, as these events alter the competitive landscape and a team’s ability to attract top talent.