TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether West Indies will win their upcoming T20 cricket match against Zimbabwe. Currently, Kalshi gives West Indies a 99.0% probability of winning, while Zimbabwe is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the Zimbabwe vs West Indies women's professional West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s cricket match, as determined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 5, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and will determine the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Zimbabwe vs West Indies women's professional T20 cricket match scheduled for October 5, 2026. If Zimbabwe wins, its market resolves to Yes; if West Indies wins, its market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions before the match begins also result in a $0.50 settlement. If these occur after play has started and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves according to that official result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, can sometimes identify discrepancies or provide an early signal of changing sentiment not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities from both sources to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the event’s potential.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Zimbabwe vs West Indies cricket match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants. The goal is to accurately forecast the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zimbabwe vs West Indies cricket match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will settle to 100, representing the outcome that occurred according to official sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the Oct 5, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal emerging sentiment and trigger further price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves as the event approaches.