TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Chinese professional basketball teams face off in a league game. The winner is the team with the higher score at the end of the match's full duration.
If Guangdong Southern Tigers wins the Zhejiang Lions vs Guangdong Southern Tigers men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zhejiang Lions wins the Zhejiang Lions vs Guangdong Southern Tigers men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from participants. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate diverse opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies initially, but as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi may converge with those offered by sportsbooks, especially if public sentiment aligns with the market’s prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a responsive indicator of potential event outcomes. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhejiang Lions versus Guangdong Southern Tigers game. The platform will verify the results against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant media coverage focusing on one team’s strengths or weaknesses, could also move the market. General public sentiment and betting activity on sportsbooks could also indirectly impact trading volume and price adjustments on Kalshi. Major upsets in other related games might also cause traders to reassess their predictions for the Zhejiang Lions versus Guangdong Southern Tigers matchup.