TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top-tier league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow predefined resolution guidelines.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Zhejiang Golden Bulls and Sichuan Blue Whales, scheduled for October 25, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final official outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or unexpected developments than sportsbooks, offering a potentially more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices tend to converge towards a more accurate prediction. The current market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi dashboard, providing insight into the forces driving price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Zhejiang Golden Bulls versus Sichuan Blue Whales game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends from external sources might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Major upsets in other related games could also have an indirect effect.