TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET: If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET: If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see the two diverge, especially as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, driven by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Zhejiang Golden Bulls and Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team in the Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even public statements from key players, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to the Chinese Basketball Association, or even external factors influencing team morale, could all contribute to price movements in this market leading up to the game.