TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:27 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the Qingdao Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Qingdao Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Golden Bulls". If the Qingdao Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Qingdao Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If the sportsbook odds significantly diverge from the implied probabilities in this market, it could indicate disagreement about the likely result or differing levels of information available to each group. It's common to see prediction markets as more accurate forecasters, especially when compared to initial polling data or expert opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation of shares. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhejiang Golden Bulls versus Qingdao Eagles game. The outcome will be determined by the final score and the winning team as reported by official sources. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements for confirmation of the final results and the subsequent settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams might also impact perceptions of their relative strength. Public statements from analysts or key figures could also cause movement, as could large trading volume from informed participants. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's implied probabilities leading up to Oct 30, 2026.