TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top-tier league. The event resolves based on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will affect how the result is determined.
The event resolves based on the result of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Zhejiang Golden Bulls and Guangzhou Loong Lions, scheduled for October 18, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If Guangzhou Loong Lions win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Zhejiang Golden Bulls’ market resolves to No. Conversely, if Zhejiang Golden Bulls win, their market resolves to Yes, and Guangzhou Loong Lions’ market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. However, initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and differing participant motivations. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment of the likely result of the Chinese basketball game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhejiang Golden Bulls versus Guangzhou Loong Lions basketball game. The winning team, as determined by the official game score, will dictate the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could all significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role. Even seemingly minor developments, such as a team’s performance in a recent practice or a key player’s comments to the media, could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, impacting the price of contracts on Kalshi.