TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting whether a specific League of Legends match between Zeu5 Esports and Maryville University will extend beyond a certain number of maps. The outcome depends on the competitive intensity and strategic depth of the game as played by both teams during their scheduled encounter.
The event evaluates two separate conditions regarding the total number of maps played in the LCS Promotion 2027 match between Zeu5 Esports and Maryville University, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. The first condition resolves to Yes if more than 3.5 maps are played, indicating at least four maps were completed. The second condition resolves to Yes if more than 4.5 maps are played, meaning at least five maps occurred. Both conditions are independent, and each market’s resolution hinges solely on whether the actual number of maps exceeds the specified threshold. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what's captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and include a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and discrepancies can occur based on differing information or analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different map totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. The current price indicates what it costs to take a position on a specific map total being the final result of the Zeu5 Esports match, and represents the market’s forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of maps played in the Zeu5 Esports versus Maryville University match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game results as reported by the event organizers. The market will settle to 100 for the correct map total, and 0 for all other possibilities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct map total will receive a payout of 100 minus the contract price they paid.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Zeu5 Esports or Maryville University could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these teams could also impact confidence. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected by increased trading volume on Kalshi, could drive price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different map totals will likely cause the market to react.