TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, Zero Tenacity and Dawn Bulls, will face off in a competitive match on October 21, 2026. The outcome will determine which team secures victory on the second map of their encounter, reflecting strategic gameplay and team performance under pressure.
The market resolves based on the official winner of map 2 in the EPL Masters 2026 match between Zero Tenacity and Dawn Bulls, scheduled for October 21, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the governing body's official declaration. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team form, player availability, or strategic approaches. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding unexpected developments or late-breaking news surrounding the teams involved. This can lead to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winning team on the designated CS2 map will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on official tournament results and publicly available game data. Traders who correctly predicted the map winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential roster changes, or strategic shifts within either team could cause price fluctuations. Major tournament upsets or unexpected results in preceding matches could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, announcements about map vetoes or specific tactical approaches could impact trader behavior. Even social media discussions and analyst opinions can contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.