TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Serbian SuperLiga between Zemun and Macva. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Zemun vs Macva professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result—Zemun win, Macva win, or tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating this market and forming your own predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zemun vs Macva match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out according to their contracts, based on the final result. It is important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verifiable information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the match itself, such as a venue change or a significant rule alteration, could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially driving price fluctuations in this market before Oct 23, 2026.