TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game between Zed and Modern will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives “Tie is the result” an 88.0% probability, while “Zed wins” is at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game as determined by the official outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the scheduled match date of October 20, 2026, as that is when the betting period will close and the outcome will be determined.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Zed vs Modern professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, strictly after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for either Zed or Modern occurs only if that specific team wins within regular time. If the match concludes in a tie during this period, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the different incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate “wisdom of the crowd” assessment. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, influencing the price of contracts in this market. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing participants to express their views and adjust their positions based on new information. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zed vs Modern match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either Zed or Modern would likely cause significant movement. Any news regarding team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions (if applicable) could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could further drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.