TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Zangar Nurlanuly and Tomas Machac in the ATP Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 06:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Zangar Nurlanuly' if Zangar Nurlanuly advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Zangar Nurlanuly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zangar Nurlanuly and Tomas Machac in the ATP Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 06:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Zangar Nurlanuly' if Zangar Nurlanuly advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Zangar Nurlanuly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and other relevant factors, constantly updating the implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Nurlanuly-Machac match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed bettors could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing a noticeable shift in the market price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the evolving probabilities.