TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:10h:17m
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This group resolves to the outcome of a soccer match between Zambia and Burundi in the AFCON Qualifiers. The markets consider all three possible outcomes: a win for Zambia, a win for Burundi, or a tie. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Zambia and Burundi, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Zambia vs Burundi AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers results within regular time, with no account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or post-match events. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks, logos, and brand names.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially identifying discrepancies or overlooked factors not fully priced into sportsbook lines. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous updating as new information emerges, offering a more responsive gauge of probabilities than static sportsbook odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Zambia vs. Burundi match may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume can also differ significantly between the two, influencing price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and interfaces of each platform can affect how traders interpret and react to information. While both platforms aim to reflect the true probability of an event, these differences in participation, volume, and platform mechanics can lead to temporary discrepancies in the prices observed for this market.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Zambia vs. Burundi match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team, or a draw if applicable, will determine the outcome. Resolution will be based on official results published by recognized sports authorities. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual result of the event.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Major upsets in other related matches, or even public sentiment expressed on social media, might also impact trading volume and prices. As the match date approaches, increased attention and information flow will likely lead to greater price volatility, as traders refine their predictions based on the latest developments.