TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce, scheduled for November 2, 2026. Markets exist for Zaglebie Lubin winning, Korona Kielce winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Zaglebia Lubin vs Korona Kielce professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Zaglebia Lubin, a win for Korona Kielce, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the defined procedures. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit from setting lines, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks often have limits on bet sizes, while prediction markets can sometimes accommodate larger wagers. This market’s pricing reflects the collective wisdom of its traders, offering an alternative perspective to conventional betting options.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume can also be significantly different between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and interfaces of each platform can influence how traders interpret information and express their beliefs. These differences can lead to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of the various outcomes for the Zaglebie Lubin vs. Korona Kielce match, even though they ultimately track the same real-world event.