TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for October 18, 2026. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026: a win for Zaglebie Lubin, a win for Jagiellonia, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and does not include extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the need to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into where the crowd thinks the value lies in the Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, signaling a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the potential results of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Zaglebie Lubin, a win for Jagiellonia, or a draw—actually occurred. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics for either Zaglebie Lubin or Jagiellonia could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from sports analysts, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal emerging insights, causing the market to react and adjust its pricing based on new information and perceived value.