TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting whether Zach Reese or Mickey Gall will win via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification within a specific round of their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Alternatively, it considers if the fight concludes with a decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds.
The event determines the winning round and method for the Zach Reese vs. Mickey Gall UFC Fight Night match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Markets resolve based on whether a fighter secures a win via KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification within Rounds 1, 2, or 3, or if the fight ends by Decision, Draw, or No Contest across the full duration. A technical decision is treated as a Decision outcome and does not count toward a round-specific win. Only definitive stoppages in the specified rounds count for the respective round markets; all other outcomes resolve under the Decision/Draw/No Contest category.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and participant bases, leading to potential discrepancies. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Reese vs. Gall fight.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Zach Reese vs. Mickey Gall fight, specifically which fighter is declared the winner and in which round the victory occurs. The platform will rely on publicly available and authoritative sources to verify the results and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official fight results to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected weigh-in results could impact the perceived probabilities. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, as well as analysis from MMA experts, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions. The closer we get to Nov 1, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to new information and changing sentiment.