TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:55 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming UFC Fight Night event on October 31, 2026, Zach Reese and Mickey Gall will compete in a highly anticipated match. The outcome can be determined by various methods including knockout, submission, or decision, with each method having distinct implications for betting markets.
This event covers multiple potential outcomes for the Zach Reese vs Mickey Gall UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for October 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Zach Reese wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, or if Mickey Gall wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision. Additionally, the market also resolves to Yes if the fight ends in a Draw or No Contest. The outcome is determined solely by the official result of the fight as recognized by the governing UFC authority. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If polls or analysts overwhelmingly favor a particular outcome in the Reese vs Gall fight, you might see that reflected in higher prices for that outcome on Kalshi. However, discrepancies can emerge if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probabilities or has overlooked key factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Reese vs Gall fight – knockout, submission, or decision. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, following the official result of the Reese vs Gall fight. The outcome will be determined by the officially declared method of victory – whether it’s a knockout, submission, or decision – as reported by a credible source for mixed martial arts results. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the method of victory will receive a payout based on the final contract prices.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Zach Reese or Mickey Gall would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Updates on their training camps, changes in weight class, or even pre-fight press conference statements could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts, betting trends, and public opinion could all contribute to fluctuations in the prices for each method of victory in this market. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s venue or rules could also play a role.