TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams face off in a match where the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the winner, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The outcome is decided purely by which team scores more goals during regular time.
Markets resolve based on the official result of the Zacatecas vs Leones Negros professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). If Zacatecas wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Leones Negros wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. If you observe a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price movement. The higher the price of a contract, the greater the implied probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective activity of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zacatecas versus Leones Negros match in the Liga de Expansión MX. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and cause the market to react swiftly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s direction.