TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory for Youngstown State in their upcoming college football game against Indiana State. Each outcome represents a different point spread threshold that Youngstown State must exceed to settle the contracts.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Youngstown St. vs Indiana St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If Youngstown St. meets or exceeds the specified point spread threshold in any individual market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may see this market converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds. It’s common to observe discrepancies, particularly before significant news breaks or as public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the spread. The more traders who believe Youngstown State will cover the spread, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Indiana State.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Youngstown State versus Indiana State game, as determined by official sports authorities. The final spread will be compared to the market’s outcome to determine winning and losing contracts. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final result of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key injuries to starting players on either Youngstown State or Indiana State would likely cause shifts in the spread. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during other games could also influence trader sentiment. Major weather events affecting game conditions could also play a role. Finally, any significant news regarding team morale, player suspensions, or other unforeseen circumstances could lead to movement in this market as traders react to the new information.