TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a Swiss Super League soccer match between Young Boys and St. Gallen. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Young Boys, St. Gallen, or a tied outcome will prevail.
The event resolves based on the result of the Young Boys vs St. Gallen Swiss Super League match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Young Boys or St. Gallen markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only results after 90 minutes plus stoppage time are considered.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Swiss Super League match. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or events related to the Young Boys versus St. Gallen game. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Swiss Super League match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. Any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Young Boys or St. Gallen would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a previous match, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding tactical changes or managerial decisions could also play a role. Even weather conditions on match day could impact the perceived probabilities, as could any late-breaking news related to team morale or off-field issues.