TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Tōkyō Verdy
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Tōkyō Verdy?

Volume:
$577,380

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 8:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,662
N/A
N/A
$21,425
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Tōkyō Verdy)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marinos

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$263,181
N/A
N/A
$102,208
Settled
No
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo V

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,435
N/A
N/A
$31,917
Settled
No
polymarket

Tōkyō Verdy

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Yokohama F·Marinos and Tōkyō Verdy, specifically whether either team will win or the game will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of a tie is 91.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official J.League website. Keep an eye on October 21, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and will determine the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi have differing resolution logic for game cancellations, specifically regarding the draw market.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation scenarios when trading. Polymarket's draw market is uniquely positioned to benefit from a cancellation, while Kalshi's markets all resolve 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on win/draw/loss after 90 minutes + stoppage time. Cancellation resolves 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market. Uses a hierarchy of official sources, then Flashscore/Sofascore.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on win/draw/loss after 90 minutes + stoppage time. Cancellation resolves 'Yes' for all markets. No mention of secondary data sources.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, 2026 between Yokohama F·Marinos and Tōkyō Verdy.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Marinos vs Tokyo V professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Marinos wins, the 'Marinos' market resolves to Yes; if Tokyo V wins, the 'Tokyo V' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Yokohama F·Marinos versus Tōkyō Verdy match within the J1 League match market. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a strong probability for one outcome, with a combined volume of $577,380. This allows traders to compare probabilities and volume across venues, providing a comprehensive view of market sentiment. The dashboard tracks the implied probabilities and trading volume, offering insights into how the crowd anticipates the results of this exciting contest. Monitoring this data can help inform your own predictions.

Prediction market odds, such as those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real money at stake. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments, providing a dynamic pricing mechanism that may differ from the more static odds offered by sportsbooks.