TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Fagiano Okayama
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Fagiano Okayama?

Total volume:
$493
Volume 24h:
$480N/A
Liquidity:
$4,325
8%
Open interest:
$476N/A

Yokohama F·Marinos

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 03d:23h:54m

Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-07?

39%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos

Trade
39%
Yes 41¢No 64¢
5¢
$1,784
$480
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 54m
Active
kalshi

Marinos

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 54m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
38.5%
Yes 41¢No 64¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Draw (Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Fagiano Okayama)

Trade
28%
Yes 30¢No 73¢
3¢
$1,232
$13
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 54m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 54m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 30¢No 73¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Fagiano Okayama

Trade
36%
Yes 38¢No 67¢
5¢
$1,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 54m
Active
kalshi

Fagiano O

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 54m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 6¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Yokohama F·Marinos and Fagiano Okayama on November 7, 2026. Markets ask whether Yokohama F·Marinos, Fagiano Okayama, or a draw will be the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's logic is silent on this scenario, implying resolution requires a completed match.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket markets have a higher risk of resolving 'No' if the game is canceled. Kalshi markets are more directly tied to the game occurring and having a result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' for a Marinos win, 'No' for a Fagiano Okayama win or draw, and 'No' if the game is canceled. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore, then consensus. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' for a Marinos win, 'Yes' for a Fagiano Okayama win, or 'Yes' for a draw. Does not explicitly address cancellation; resolution implies a completed game. "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Yokohama F·Marinos and Fagiano Okayama.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Marinos vs Fagiano O Japan J1 League match scheduled for November 7, 2026: a win for Marinos, a win for Fagiano O, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to Yes only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes, while the team-specific markets resolve to No. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only results within regular time count.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, reacting to new information and shifts in sentiment.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for the J1 League match market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. The 24-hour volume on each platform—currently $493—also plays a role, as lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information about team form, player availability, and potential tactical approaches can contribute to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities reflected in the prices on each exchange. These variations are normal in decentralized prediction markets.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Yokohama F·Marinos versus Fagiano Okayama J1 League match. The outcome will be determined by the official governing body of the J1 League and will be verified against credible public sources. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the market is finalized.

Several factors could influence this market before Nov 7, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Yokohama F·Marinos or Fagiano Okayama would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical changes announced by either manager, could impact trader sentiment and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market. Major news affecting the J1 League overall could also have an effect.