TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming baseball game between the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and the Yomiuri Giants. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds represent more run-intensive games.
The event evaluates whether the total runs scored by both the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Yomiuri Giants in their NPB game scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT, exceed one of four progressively higher thresholds: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs surpass that specific threshold. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of runs scored by both the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and the Yomiuri Giants during the official game will determine whether the ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ outcome prevails. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the BayStars or the Giants would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if there’s a chance of rain delays or cancellations, could also impact prices. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or lineup adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Even general public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence the direction of this market as the game draws closer.