TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team secures a lead exceeding specific run thresholds. The result reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this competitive match.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the margin of victory in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each scenario defines a specific run differential required for resolution: the Yomiuri Giants winning by more than 2.5 runs, the Yomiuri Giants winning by more than 1.5 runs, the Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning by more than 1.5 runs, or the Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning by more than 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable scenario if the stated condition is met in the game as originally scheduled. All scenarios operate independently, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that the platform hosting the event has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars versus Yomiuri Giants game, specifically whether the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle accordingly, reflecting the actual game result as reported by official sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even strategic announcements from either team, could also cause fluctuations. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Overall team form and head-to-head records are also key signals.