TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$4,368

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 8:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$890
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,722
N/A
N/A
$1,612
Settled
No
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,635
N/A
N/A
$1,633
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of runs or more, reflecting the competitive balance and performance in the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of a baseball game between the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and the Yomiuri Giants, scheduled for October 3, 2026. Four distinct markets are considered, each corresponding to a different winning margin scenario. The first market resolves to Yes if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The resolution of each market depends solely on the actual run differential at the end of the game, with no additional conditions or tiebreakers applied beyond the specified run margins.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its contract price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Yokohama DeNA BayStars versus Yomiuri Giants spread.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars versus Yomiuri Giants game, specifically whether the Yomiuri Giants win by over 2.5 runs. The final score will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s results to understand the final settlement of this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Yokohama DeNA BayStars or the Yomiuri Giants would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, managerial decisions, and even public sentiment expressed through polls or analyst predictions could all contribute to fluctuations in trading volume and contract prices on Kalshi.