TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Japanese baseball teams, the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and the Hanshin Tigers, will compete in a match on October 15, 2026. The total number of runs scored by both teams will determine the outcome of several betting markets.
All markets resolve based solely on the combined runs scored by both teams in the specified NPB game scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the total runs exceed the threshold defined in its primary rule (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs). No affiliation or endorsement exists between Kalshi and the Governing League; all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s pricing is determined by individuals trading contracts based on their own research and beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total runs scored in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars versus Hanshin Tigers game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting 'Over 5.5 runs', the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars versus Hanshin Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will determine whether the total runs exceed 5.5 or not. The resolution will be based on the official, final score of the game, and any potential adjustments made by the league will be taken into consideration to ensure an accurate and fair outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the BayStars or the Tigers would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if there’s a chance of rain that could affect scoring, are also important. Unexpected lineup announcements or changes in batting order could also shift expectations. Finally, general public sentiment and any late-breaking analysis from baseball experts could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 15, 2026.