TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 7:49 AM EST
Kalshi
A baseball match between the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and the Hanshin Tigers will take place as scheduled. The outcome depends entirely on which team secures a victory in this contest, with ties leading to an evenly split result.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tied game results in a 50/50 resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading, or suggest that the market holds information not yet reflected in traditional betting lines.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve to the team that wins the Japan Series, the championship series of Nippon Professional Baseball. The resolution will be based on the official results declared by the NPB, and will be determined by the final game score. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official announcement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected changes in team performance, or major trades could all shift the perceived probabilities. News regarding pitching rotations, managerial decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Strong performances in upcoming games, particularly against top rivals, could boost a team’s chances, while disappointing losses could lead to a decline in their contract prices. Monitoring these events and assessing their potential impact is crucial for informed trading in this market.