TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming Dota 2 tournament match scheduled for October 16, 2026, two teams, Yellow Submarine and salamit, will compete. The outcome depends on whether Yellow Submarine secures a victory in the second map of their match.
The market resolves to Yes if Yellow Submarine wins map 2 of the specified match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body's decision.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence participants have in each possible result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Yellow Submarine vs. salamit match. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team performance, player form, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about roster changes, or even in-game developments during other matches that affect team morale, could also have an impact. Major upsets in related events or shifts in public opinion based on analysis from esports commentators could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.