TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The same match features salamit as the potential winner of the second map. The market outcome hinges on whether salamit claims victory in that specific map, determining the result based on the match's progress or official resolutions.
If Yellow Submarine wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Yellow Submarine vs. salamit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If salamit wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Yellow Submarine vs. salamit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of Yellow Submarine winning map 1, without an inherent profit margin for the venue. It's common to see discrepancies, as different factors influence each type of market – public perception versus sharp betting action, for example. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Yellow Submarine winning map 1. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated beliefs of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team's success.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official game outcome for map 1 of the Yellow Submarine versus salamit match. The winning team on that map will dictate the settlement of this market. The platform will verify the results against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all traders.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Yellow Submarine or salamit could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of team strength. In-game performance during the early stages of the match, even before map 1 concludes, could also cause significant price movement as traders react to real-time events and adjust their predictions accordingly.