TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a specific Dota 2 match between two teams, Yellow Submarine and salamit, scheduled for October 16, 2026. The resolution depends on which team secures a victory in a related qualifying event. If either team wins its respective qualifying condition, the market resolves accordingly.
The market resolves based on the victory of either Yellow Submarine or salamit in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026, which determines the outcome of their scheduled Dota 2 match on October 16, 2026, at 3:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, the result follows the official determination by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from individuals trading contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. These differences can arise from unique insights held by market participants or a greater responsiveness to late-breaking news impacting the match. Examining these differences can be insightful for both seasoned bettors and casual observers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities and profit from discrepancies. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence available regarding the Yellow Submarine vs. salamit match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yellow Submarine vs. salamit match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Yellow Submarine or salamit could dramatically shift the odds. Unexpected changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant public endorsements or negative press coverage surrounding either team could sway market sentiment. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also lead traders to reassess their probabilities, resulting in price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.