TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
In the same EPL Masters Play-In 2026 Dota 2 match, the event centers on whether Dawn Bulls will claim victory in the first map against Yellow Submarine, determining the market outcome for that specific map.
Resolution depends on the first map's result in the designated match. A Yellow Submarine win resolves one market to Yes; a Dawn Bulls win resolves the other to Yes. Any postponement, cancellation, or forfeiture before play triggers a fair market price resolution. If play starts and a forfeiture occurs later, the market follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi states no official connection to the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what is captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and a margin for profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. The more contracts purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the Yellow Submarine vs. Dawn Bulls CS2 match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or map-specific performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected roster changes, announcements about in-game updates impacting map play, or even strong opinions from prominent CS2 analysts could all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this event might also affect confidence in either team, and therefore, the price of contracts in this market. Continued trading volume will reflect how these signals are being interpreted.